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  • OK, France. Le Pen is favourite. The macronist is second

  • Tbf there isn't really any proper opposition yet, the last election makes me confident that everyone will hold their nose over here and vote for anyone but Le Pen if needs be. But Macron is doing his best to make things easier for her.

  • The parliamentary election this year was really hard fought, no?

    You've basically got 3 blocks, left, right and Macronist. The macronists didn't do well.

    The left and right blocs both have established charismatic leaders with big personal franchises : Melenchon and Le Pen, while Macron is ineligible and his successor, philippe or whoever, will be less well known.

    I don't know who will win between left and right but the only bet I would put on now would be against the macronists winning.

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