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A Chinese invasion would fuck large parts of the American economy, especially Silicon Valley.
It would also be the largest amphibious assault in history and logistically extremely challenging for China. Even if the Chinese think the conditions are favourable, it is still a high risk endeavour with no guarantee of success.
andyp-
the largest amphibious assault in history and logistically extremely challenging
I am talking about a hybrid invasion of the Kinmen islands for the symbolic value, not the entire island of Taiwan. A risky undertaking for China, but with some hybrid warfare moves one reckons it would be logistically doable.
starfish&coffee
And Taiwan.
There are a few islands right on the coast of China that have remained under Taiwanese jurisdiction all this time. I predict a Crimea style hybrid invasion of these sometime in the next four years.