US Politics

Electoral College-
Trump 105
Harris 25
Not looking good at all fuck fuck fuck
She’s not getting anywhere near what I expected.

You're doing it wrong. Nothing significant has happened yet.

That’s from the media calling the results in each state. The official results are what matter and they won’t be out for a while.

NYT has a live forecast going. They predict 280 for Trump. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president-forecast-needle.html

You were the one urging patience cause nothing big has happened yet!

That's the first big outfit to attempt a forecast. It's very early days. We need to wait until Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are called. Which probably means getting a night's sleep for people on UK time.

Harris leading in all 3, but less than 30% of the votes counted, so probably doesn't mean much.

She's trailing 52 - 47 in Georgia, with over 75% of votes counted there though.

Not so confident it's going to be a storming Harris win now. Looks like it really is going to be a nail biter.

WaPo now has a live forecast going! And it just says it's too close to call. https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/11/05/election-live-updates-trump-harris/#link-ZJAUFUG33BCEDNKLTHOLLSVHHA

The current picture isn’t pretty. Polls have closed but votes haven’t been tallied, so large pinches of salt required.

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Shameful, but that was as true yesterday as today.

Big city results and postals tilt liberal and get counted late so I'm still in ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ mode.

Not that their predictions mean anything, but online bookies are leaning heavily towards trump.

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This is going to be a massive Trump win then. Unreal.

Reuters and NYT pulled this shit last election: giving an early, skewed picture then correcting as the night wore on.

But its not looking good.

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Fun times finding out just how racist and/or misogynistic the US electorate is.

Don’t forget the homophobes, they voted too. And the morons losing teeth because they can’t afford dental care but voting against ‘socialism’.

Again, glass half full - it's making me glad I didn't move to America when my work asked me to.

Realized this week I've been here more years than I spent in the UK now. Didn't think I'd still be here to see another election, let alone a possible 2nd trump term. This country is upsetting.

3 northern swing states are too close to call. So far no states have confirmed swung to the opposite party, which is bad: one would’ve hoped trump wouldn’t be as popular as he was 4 years ago.

Map of current shifts from 2020 voting.

We’re so totally and completely fucked.

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£5 on BTC breaking $80,000usd thanks to this. Anyone?

I think the bookies will be proved right.

The music has stopped at the Harris watch party.

In other news, Boris you’re fired.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/nov/06/channel-4-fired-boris-johnson-from-us-election-show-for-promoting-his-book-co-host-says

First swing state, N Carolina, goes Trump. Fuck it all.

Trump 105
Harris 25

Calm down, that's a silly panic that early in the results. At that point, the only states that had declared were solid Blue or Red ones that almost never flip. The states report in in an order determined by geographical location and population size, basically, so the college numbers swing back and forth wildly until the countis done. Jesus.

Even now, the only significan result has been North Carolina - a swing state Trump won in 2020 and still lost the election. The most you can say right now is that the results so far (if these calls are accurate) is much the same as in 2020.

Meanwhile, all @Soul 's "voter shift" map shows is that views may have become more entreched in states that were already solidly Blue or Red.

This thread has turned into a chicken coop where one chicken saw a red woollen cap blowing about in the wind and ran around shouting "A fox! A fox!" and gpt the whole lot laying square eggs.

Harris is now 35/1.

NY Times says Trump has a 92% chance of winning. There's not much hope to cling to. The best thing I've seen is this tweet: "On the plus side, all the people who said Trump won't be a disaster will be proven wrong."