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  • Even if you put every remaining game at 50/50, Yankees chance of winning is around 6% - I doubt the series makes it back to LA.

    But... What if? Aaron judge goes crazy tonight and suddenly all the unmeasurable sport things start turning the way of the Yankees? Probably not

  • Yes, the chances of a sweep seem very high if you take history as a guide:

    After their 4-2 win in Game 3, the Dodgers will be going for the sweep on Tuesday at Yankee Stadium. Los Angeles became the 41st team to go up three games to none in a best-of-seven postseason series. Of the previous 40 clubs to do it, 31 swept the series and five won in five games. Only four teams have pushed the series to a sixth game after falling behind 3-0 in a best-of-seven series, and two of those teams -- the 2004 Red Sox and the 2020 Astros -- forced a Game 7.

    In World Series history, 24 teams prior to 2024 went up three games to none, and 21 of them completed the sweep with a win in Game 4. The last team to force a Game 5 when down 3-0 in the World Series was the Reds in 1970 against the Orioles.

    https://www.mlb.com/news/dave-roberts-on-world-series-3-0-lead

    Such a high percentage of sweeps if up 3-0.

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