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  • From the perspective of "it would be good to have a rational, strong opposition to hold the government to account" the wide-spread acceptance on the right of a false narrative is bad, as it drives them further away from the electorate as they get ever more shrill about it.

    But maybe that in of itself is a myth with FPTP and our modern media landscape, and having Reform and the Tories howling at the moon about immigration as the voters continue to prioritise other things may give political space for the Greens and the Lib-Dems to develop into a sane centre-right block. I think Reform will always have adherents, but they're at or about at their current limit in terms of vote share per the polls, and said voters will likely reliably vote for whoever is the most openly racist - rather than an actual analysis of policies, so fuck them.

  • but they're at or about at their current limit in terms of vote share per the polls

    I think we've got to be careful about assumptions like these.

    I definitely think the media overblow Reform, given they're basically where UKIP were. However, while Farage is charismatic to a certain audience his appeal feels like it has an age limit.

    In Europe you've seen a youth move to the right. Get a young charismatic leader X no change in youth mobility X disinfranchisment of young men and I think we've got a clear risk.

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