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After taking a proper look at things today, the 12m fixed deal with Octopus is only marginally more expensive than today's tracker price. Prices are also already quite a bit above where the tracker was a year ago - so seems likely they will go higher still, even without the uncertainty in the middle east. I've fixed, but will try and get back on something else on the other side of the cold months.
I'm still on the Octopus tracker, should I be fixing?
Apologies for outsourcing my financial legwork.