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Yes, that sounds likely!
I'm long on jenrick already, and neutral on cleverly.
I basically laid Tugs and Mel Stride as I thought they both had no chance. I'll win as long as Tugs doesn't win, but feeling greedy as there seems to be lots of stupid money around.
I backed jenrick vs badenoch on the basis that the tory members would most likely choose a white male vs a black woman.
My only risk is Tugs pulling one out of the hat with his speech but I think it's highly unlikely
If you're throwing money I'd put a fiver each on cleverly and jenrick.
I wouldn't call tugs bright. He's just another entitled rich boy.