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If you're throwing money I'd put a fiver each on cleverly and jenrick.
I wouldn't call tugs bright. He's just another entitled rich boy.
Grumpy_Git-
Yes, that sounds likely!
I'm long on jenrick already, and neutral on cleverly.
I basically laid Tugs and Mel Stride as I thought they both had no chance. I'll win as long as Tugs doesn't win, but feeling greedy as there seems to be lots of stupid money around.
I backed jenrick vs badenoch on the basis that the tory members would most likely choose a white male vs a black woman.
My only risk is Tugs pulling one out of the hat with his speech but I think it's highly unlikely
frank9755
Thanks for your thoughts.
Hard to see a 'good' result any way by any objective standards, but if I can make a few quid by calling at least part of the result, that feels like a more achievable goal!
What l said about the yougov poll above is wrong as it looks like they didn't run that pair - jenrick vs clev.
https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Internal_ConMembers_August2024.pdf
One thought is to lay jenrick and back tugs now on the basis that jenrick needs to do a good speech to keep his hot favourite position and might not, and tugs could improve his odds by saying something half decent - and I think he is meant to be reasonably bright and a good speaker, no?
But maybe that's trying to be too clever, might be better to wait until odds settle ahead of the next round...