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  • Tugs hasn't "done" anything and doesn't have public breakthrough. He needs a proper (shadow, ha) ministerial position for a decent amount of time. Still im a random dude on the internet.

    Bad enough or Kendrick winning would give labour a free pass to keep being fucking useless.

    Cleverly or Tugs may force them (edit:labour) to do politics and give up the freebies but would risk being a functional opposition.

  • Thanks for your thoughts.

    Hard to see a 'good' result any way by any objective standards, but if I can make a few quid by calling at least part of the result, that feels like a more achievable goal!

    What l said about the yougov poll above is wrong as it looks like they didn't run that pair - jenrick vs clev.
    https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Internal_ConMembers_August2024.pdf

    One thought is to lay jenrick and back tugs now on the basis that jenrick needs to do a good speech to keep his hot favourite position and might not, and tugs could improve his odds by saying something half decent - and I think he is meant to be reasonably bright and a good speaker, no?

    But maybe that's trying to be too clever, might be better to wait until odds settle ahead of the next round...

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