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Thanks for your thoughts.
Hard to see a 'good' result any way by any objective standards, but if I can make a few quid by calling at least part of the result, that feels like a more achievable goal!
What l said about the yougov poll above is wrong as it looks like they didn't run that pair - jenrick vs clev.
https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Internal_ConMembers_August2024.pdfOne thought is to lay jenrick and back tugs now on the basis that jenrick needs to do a good speech to keep his hot favourite position and might not, and tugs could improve his odds by saying something half decent - and I think he is meant to be reasonably bright and a good speaker, no?
But maybe that's trying to be too clever, might be better to wait until odds settle ahead of the next round...
Tugs hasn't "done" anything and doesn't have public breakthrough. He needs a proper (shadow, ha) ministerial position for a decent amount of time. Still im a random dude on the internet.
Bad enough or Kendrick winning would give labour a free pass to keep being fucking useless.
Cleverly or Tugs may force them (edit:labour) to do politics and give up the freebies but would risk being a functional opposition.