General Election 2024

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hugo7
My feeling is that it's not clear cut.

Think about the following scenarios:
1. Life long small-c conservative who can't bare to vote for the last cunts
2. Starmer hating leftist who doesn't live in Walthamstow or Islington North
3. Time poor semi-engaged who's been told Labour will win in their seat
All eg of people who might not vote for a range of reasons, and who's decision not to vote is effectively a vote in itself.

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in reply to @hugo7
My feeling is that it's not clear cut.

Think about the following scenarios:
```
Life long small-c conservative who can't bare to vote for the last cunts
Starmer hating leftist who doesn't live in Walthamstow or Islington North
Time poor semi-engaged who's been told Labour will win in their seat
```
All eg of people who might not vote for a range of reasons, and who's decision not to vote is effectively a vote in itself.
This. Can be seen as an indictment of those who were running as much as those who had the opportunity to vote (although spoiling would be the better option personally).

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hugo7 in reply to @

Something I hadn't considered before posting that, which Dorian Linskey mentioned on OGWN, is that the certainty of a Labour victory gave people licence to vote in certain ways. Also that you'll have people who say voted lib dem (and may well support lib dem) who were happy with having Starmer as PM.

All in, as with PR counter-factuals, it's incredibly hard to make accurate what ifs.

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