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Brexit Party stood over 300 candidates down for Tories in 2019 in a deal with Johnson - why are none of the professional analysts factoring this in? The swing to them is overstated. They need to be compared with older UKIP vote shares.
c00ps-
The Tory voters went somewhere and it isn't on mass to labour or lib dem going by vote share gains
Just looked and ukip got 2% in 2017, 12% in 2015, 3% in 2010,
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It'll come with time as more detailed analyses emerge. It (Brexit party) also needs to be factored into Labour's win. From the broad view, this seems to be a repeat of their performance in 2019 (the difference being the split vote on the right). Farage won the election for the Tories in 2019, and cost them it this year.
I know there's a bit of anti-electoral reform reaction to the popular vote, but the idea of one man being able to do that should give everyone some thought. The electoral system needs to be reformed.
greentricky
Just going to reiterate again that Reform support is not a revolution in anyway, but the continuance of a trend. They have a similar vote share and count to UKIP in 2015. Those voters were mostly absorbed by the Tories in 2017 and 2019, who were perceived as the Brexit party.