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  • Just going to reiterate again that Reform support is not a revolution in anyway, but the continuance of a trend. They have a similar vote share and count to UKIP in 2015. Those voters were mostly absorbed by the Tories in 2017 and 2019, who were perceived as the Brexit party.

  • Brexit Party stood over 300 candidates down for Tories in 2019 in a deal with Johnson - why are none of the professional analysts factoring this in? The swing to them is overstated. They need to be compared with older UKIP vote shares.

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