Will the 13 for Reform cement the belief amongst the Tories that they have to go further to the right, making them unelectable to their previous Centre-Right voters?
If the Tories and Reform squabble over (say) 20% of the electorate then that’s not great, but it likely keeps them out of power.
Looking at my constituency Labour have gained some ground, but based on the poll numbers what's turned it into a potentially winnable seat for the first time ever is Reform taking Tory votes.
It will almost certainly lead to a very rancorous leadership campaign in the Conservatives.
Possibly contested by Farage, post-defection, or other weird right-wingers like Badenoch, and whichever more moderate centre-right types have survived the cull.
Will the 13 for Reform cement the belief amongst the Tories that they have to go further to the right, making them unelectable to their previous Centre-Right voters?
If the Tories and Reform squabble over (say) 20% of the electorate then that’s not great, but it likely keeps them out of power.