General Election 2024

Exactly...who knew?

Feel like the gap between Labour and Tory will not be as big as predicted and people will be also asking if Reform peaked too early in the campaign come Friday. Tories will still suffer decent sized defeat though.

Agreed. As much as I enjoyed Reform's erosion of the Tory voting base , the rise of such a bunch of racist pricks is totally abhorrent. I don't want Farage thinking he has any sort of mandate

Given the volatility of the electorate, I think all bets are off as to the size of any majority.

There's two things you can conclude though, I think:

1. Labour will have a majority.
   
2. The Tories are incredibly unpopular and tactical voting is likely to impact them far more than any other party.
   

I refuse to work between Monday and Friday and keep my weekends sacrosanct. However, should Monaco rise up and threaten these United Kingdoms I would be willing to write - and post - a strongly worded letter on any day of the week.

Sadly, plenty of the don't knows will be shyer than ever tories. Still expecting them to get about 120/130 seats.
3/4 green, 1 reform, 60ish LDs. Whatever for the forrins and the rest to Lab.

A lot of analysis is showing that 'shy Tories' are more likely to not vote at all.

I'd love #keegan it if the lib dems were opposition but still think it's likely the starmergeddon supermajority message might be effective for some. Hope you're right though.

Really tight in North Herefordshire and apparently one to watch re tactical voting https://www.bestforbritain.org/six_constituencies_to_watch

I fear that if the incumbent loses then I may, on a heady combo of joy, lack of sleep and excessive cheap Prosecco, streak through the Tory village - I’m hoping for everyone’s sake that the result is declared early and we can all rely on the darkest light before the dawn to save blushes.

You should definitely do this with a strategically placed Labour red rose

Absolutely neck and neck between the Tories and Labour in my area. To even be in this position is incredible for such a staunch Tory constituency.

Got a Reform, Green and Lib Dem flyer in the post today. Cutting it very close to the election.

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It’s the Green Party that are the main challengers (the graph below is wild compared to 2019) so, if it does happen, I may be able to fashion something from dock leaves

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looking good in south herefordshire too

come on you bulls

South Norfolk

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From a very reliable ‘riding round the city’ survey, there are very, very few Conservative signs up but plenty of Labour ones - imagine if both the Old Etonians lost!!!

Isabel Oakshott has spent the afternoon accusing the Tories of a "Trojan Horse Plot" to get sleeper agents selected as Reform candidates only to activate them now as secret Tories!

Huge if true (its not)

Tactical vote site says labour. Worryingly reform are next closest

WTF did these people think they were signing up to?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jul/02/second-reform-candidate-quits-over-racism-and-misogyny

I'm not going to celebrate if lots of Tory voters see the light. If they hadn't been so easily duped we wouldn't have had all the years of deceit. The penny has dropped far too late. The damage is done. Those who enabled it don't deserve a vote.

Last True Blue post in South Shropshire

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Did chuckle when listening to this.

There seems to be a hell of a backlash at royal mail about all this

Yet another Old Etonian (albeit not a contemporary of Cameron/Johnson like Wiggin and Norman), even lives in Herefordshire.

Ludlow though.

My family is from Ludlow. I am such a disappointment to them.

You’ve let yourself down, you’ve let Ludlow down etc etc.

Different results from getvoting.org

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