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Something I've heard a few pundits say, which I agree with, is that the Tories have backed themselves into a corner with Reform as there is nothing for them to criticise them on.
Reform are basically advocating harder versions of the Conservative policies so how do you counter them?
That said, I think the key is what Tory MPs hold their seats. If the headbangers are largely wiped out that has to change what happens next Imo.
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That said, I think the key is what Tory MPs hold their seats. If the headbangers are largely wiped out that has to change what happens next Imo.
Observer did this today, detailing who's likely to go/stay: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2024/jun/23/tory-big-beasts-who-could-disappear-from-westminster-visualised
Among the remainers (a label they'll love) - Badenoch, Dowden, Braverman, Patel, Chope, Barclay, Gale. So, no, not looking like a wipeout of the howling wolves.
If they’re canny the Ld’s should move to become the natural home of the centre-right voter. That leaves the tories to keep hitting the lunatic juice and trying to outdo Reform, or head back to the centre but then have to come up with some way of differentiating themselves other than “we are the party of grifting incompetents”.