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It's a poll, there's a built in margin of error for a start. The volatility of the electorate has changed so much in the past 15 years, that I don't think anyone can predict the outcome beyond the expectation that Labour will form a majority government.
Totally fair.
I guess what I meant is that, unlike a nationally weighted sample, the large Survation MRPs are more likely to be accurate or close to accurate on a local level.Of course nothing is going to be guaranteed. I've edited my original comment.
Soul
Citation needed.
It's a poll, there's a built in margin of error for a start. The volatility of the electorate has changed so much in the past 15 years, that I don't think anyone can predict the outcome beyond the expectation that Labour will form a majority government.