General Election 2024

What are the chances of Farage becoming leader of the opposition a

He needs to actually get elected as an MP for that to have a chance of happening and, as others have pointed out, their vote share does not translate into MPs.

[EDIT] I mean enough MPs to be regarded as the opposition. There's a reasonable chance that Farage himself will get elected, but I'd laugh lots if he doesn't.

But, let's work through a potential scenario - Farage gets in in Clacton, Tories are destroyed, but still the second largest party. Tory rump of cunts force through a merger with Reform, and Farage is installed as leader of the opposition. Farage spends a few years showboating and getting all the news coverage in the world. Labour make a few mis-steps along the way, Farage is PM by 2029.

With only 3 weeks to go it's not too late for the usual Tory backing media to switch to supporting Reform UK. If the right of centre papers all say to vote Reform UK not Tory there could be a huge shift.

Much as I'd love to see the death of the Tory party its zombie like corpse being taken over by Farage/Tice is even less appealing.

Ideally they'll split the vote so much they'll both do appallingly badly, and we just have to home the Labour party doesn't implode as the various factions realise they have a lot of room to swing a cat.

Farage is electoral Marmite. Even if he became Tory leader, it would take something seismic for him to lead them to a GE win. Two-thirds of the electorate hate him.

Boris was elected by 42.4% * 67.3% = 28.54% of the electorate in 2019.

Farage is PM by 2029

MI5 wouldn’t let this happen.

Not one candidate was left unfingered:

https://x.com/theJeremyVine/status/1801390756466172278

even so, I don't think this actually happening is beyond the realms of possibility.

I wonder what the odds are if you were to try and place a bet on it?

Farage might be electoral vegemite but look what he's achieved. He's the third most significant post-war politician after Thatcher and Blair. He might turn out to be even more significant than them in the end. It's possible - I'd say probable - the Tory party will merge with Reform. We've got used to that extraordinary idea very quickly. Either way, the opposition to Labour will be 'Faragist' whoever is the leader either of a rump Conservative party or the all new Tory Reform party.

Farage is PM by 2029.

defo happening esp of labour isnt bold enough

The Tory Party won't merge with Reform, it'll be consumed by them.

I'd expect that the more one nation conservatives will try and stop that, but given that they've rolled over and shown their tummies for a tickle at every juncture, I don't hold out any hope.

Farage won't ever be PM.

If you devolve planning surely if the local council chooses to block planning that's their choice?
Irrespective of housing I think we need to concentrate on moving wealth and jobs out of the south east.

Let's hope he takes more helicopter journeys

This would be the funniest mergers and acquisition by any UK company ever.

Can a political party and a private company merge?

Farage becoming an MP is going to be a massive pain in the ass for both tories and Labour. So if I was them, I'd be doing the best to make sure that dosen't happen, the one tory I'd like to keep their seat.

Farage not winning could be one of those small moments in history that has a big impact on the future of the country.

Telegraph continuing to Telegraph

1 Attachment

To misquote Keith Burkinshaw, "there used to be a serious newspaper over there."

If Farage is elected he'll be on telly every day. Even C4 News will be unable to resist. I sincerely hope he dies soon.

Let's hope he takes more helicopter journeys

Tow plane wasn't it?

they thought the same about meloni, le pen etc

hopefully you are right!

For the Conservative Party/Reform to regain power after this election, they have to attract voters who aren't ageing, reactionary, racists. Currently they are repelling these people by demonising them and offering them absolutely zero in terms of policy.

I’ve been wondering about this. It’s in none of the main parties’ interests for Farage to take Clacton. Might Labour and the LibDems quietly throw it for the Tories?

Ah yeah that's it 👌

It would be hysterical if Reform won a few seats but didn’t manage to win Clacton.

Can you imagine what kind of loon would be their parliamentary leader?