General Election 2024

From that survation poll

While Reform does not currently lead any other parties in terms of any single constituency vote share, the model estimates that they have a one in four chance of winning Gainsborough and North West Norfolk, and a one in five chance of winning Clacton. While these estimates do not take into account Farage’s candidacy in Clacton, our constituency poll conducted in January showed that if he stood in the election, he would overtake the Conservative candidate Giles Watling by 10%.