There some interesting seat by seat analysis if you got to the electoral calculus website. My local constituencies(Hamble Valley, and Fareham) dont looks like they’ve had any tactical voting applied to them as the numbers look very similar to other mrp polls in the last 18 month, with the Tory’s on 35% ish and Labour on 25% and Lib Dem’s on 22%.
kemi badenoch losing her seat would a genuine Portillo moment, given her pretensions to lead the party etc. we just need the people of Fareham to get there shit together and kick braverman out too.
Bit more analysis in the thread
https://x.com/MarwanData/status/1796633036395622814?t=275pGPt7PGpDD-Igsf8dxA&s=19
There some interesting seat by seat analysis if you got to the electoral calculus website. My local constituencies(Hamble Valley, and Fareham) dont looks like they’ve had any tactical voting applied to them as the numbers look very similar to other mrp polls in the last 18 month, with the Tory’s on 35% ish and Labour on 25% and Lib Dem’s on 22%.
kemi badenoch losing her seat would a genuine Portillo moment, given her pretensions to lead the party etc. we just need the people of Fareham to get there shit together and kick braverman out too.