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  • The latest Westminster voting intention from Ipsos shows Labour at 44% (-3 ppts), Conservatives 19% (-1 ppts), Liberal Democrats 9% (N/C), Green Party 9% (+1), Reform UK 13% (+5), Others 6% (-1) (changes from February). Note: Figures are based on those expressing a voting intention (excluding not voting, undecideds and refused).

    Reform up 5 points. May be misremembering but I kept hearing recently that there was a threshold for reform where it would become very uncomfortable for the Tories and might prompt some movement. I think it was 10%, which has now been breached.

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