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Thanks very much for all the suggestions. I admit I have, in the five months or so that I've had this wheel (and I got it secondhand), never taken the hub apart. Have also slightly rounded the hub nut by trying to overtighten it thinking it was loose. @lynx only the drive side nut seems to have this issue, I can loosen it if the other one is done up tight, and the wheel spins absolutely fine; should I take the hub apart anyway?
@Chaley what's the issue with the Aerorages in particular that makes them do this?
My aerorage does the exact same thing, if you loosen the wrong side first the axle spins, tighten the loosened nut back up and the stuck one comes off. Wire brush the axle and grease it up before putting it back together and it’ll be fine for a month or so of winter commutes before it does it again.
Edit, thinking about it, oddly it’s only ever the drive side that does it. I’ve also snapped 2 rear axles on this wheelset in the 10 years I’ve had them.