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  • Thing is, none of the above want to be leader at the moment. They all want to rule over the ashes, and for Sunak to own the election defeat.

    Sunak would win the vote of confidence, and the government would stagger on in an even weaker state.

  • Thing is they are assuming that they get to be the shadow government- that’s very likely but not certain. I wonder if they would be chancing their arm a bit more if they believed that the Lib Dem’s would form the shadow cabinet.

  • Lib Dems are polling terribly. I think most people have forgotten they exist (although they are still forecast to get something like 40 seats whereas Refrom are predicted to get more votes than them and zero seats).

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