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@nick_h.
The Russian presidential election is on March 15th. Killing Navalny is one of several pre-election moves. A week ago Boris Nadezhdin was barred from running https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/08/russian-anti-war-candidate-boris-nadezhdin-says-he-is-barred-from-election Recently there was a protest by wives of soldiers sent to Ukraine. https://archive.ph/SBBYU Putin doesn't want any more of that sort of thing to muddy his victory.