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Thanks for the link but yes rail, doesn't seem to be much out there and estimations there are say not open until late Summer 24. A holiday requires a bit of replanning if it isn't open. The (alternative?) road tunnel I understand was affected but they were able to open that within a few weeks.
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You found the update about replacement bus here? https://www.seat61.com/trains-and-routes/paris-to-milan-by-train.htm
https://www.sftrf.fr/uk/il4-sftrf_p42-traffic-information.aspx ?
https://www.sftrf.fr/InfoliveDocuments/alternat_janvier_2024_maj_3.01.24.pdf
gives:-
"
TUNNEL DU FRÉJUS : ALTERNATS DE CIRCULATION ET FERMETURES
Du 1 er janvier au 4 février 2024
Fermeture totale du tunnel du Fréjus
du vendredi 26 janvier 22h00 au lundi 29 janvier 6h00
"
The alternative crossing to the South was fine last Friday (5th Jan) as we got a coach over from Sauze d'Oulx to Montgenevre to do some French skiing for a day.
[EDIT] Ah - just noticed you said rail tunnel. Oops.