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Seeing as I've just been reading a fuckton of stuff about this recently: mean maximal power* can be used a sufficiently accurate proxy for critical power or ftp, though accuracy degrades the fewer the maximal efforts undertaken (Spragg & Leo, 2020 & Spragg et all. 2022).
You can model FTP without tests, but if you're not actually putting effort in, then it's going to be rubbish
* the maxima of a series of power duration curves (per cycling activity), where the PDC is a convolution of maximum power over time for that activity.
Thank you for coming to my TED talk.
Next up: 3hyp Critical Power. Is it all it's 3hyped up to be?
NotThamesWater
amey
If you're just riding for 'fun' then sure but I reckon regular tests are essential for proper progression. I've done a lot though and can pretty easily tell if the last test was shit or I'm knackered and whatever. I float around in a land of moderate discomfort interspersed with boredom and some flashes of seeing God*
*there is no God