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  • The Tories have no obvious route to victory

    • they can’t run on their record of delivery as whether they start the click at 2010, 2016, 2019 or the last 12 months, it’s a catalogue of administrative incompetence, waste, corruption and nastiness (and they’ve deliberately ramped up the latter over the last year)
    • they are desperate to find a wedge issue but all attempts so far have failed to stick (doesn’t mean that they won’t go full on in the lead up to the election)
    • even the “we delivered Brexit” doesn’t stack up given the ratings that the project currently enjoys

    Their only hope is that the non-Tory vote gets split and that they manage to squeak in most votes by just pandering to their guaranteed core vote. That might not give them enough to form a government in their own but who knows what unholy alliance can be cooked up. And if that happens, we’re all properly fucked.

    An alternative of a split not-Tory is that Labour scrape a small majority or have to form a coalition as largest part (and the latter is on the face of it quite appealing) - cue even more challenges to address the scorched/salted earth that the Tories are looking to bequeath and the attacks will be relentless leading to a return of “the natural party of government” before the end of the decade. As above, that leaves us fucked.

    What has this got to do with this thread? A lot as it was only a page or so back that Starmer was described as a cunt. That doesn’t mean a reductive “if you don’t support Starmer, you support the Tories” but it does speak to the desired outcome of the next election - getting the Tories out is the main objective.

    Would a Labour government under any leadership be better than the current shower (or any combination of them since 2010?). I’d definitely hope so and if you hope then there’s at least a chance, right?

  • As someone who generally votes Tory, I've had to hold my nose tactically voting Labour in Scottish and local elections. That tactical vote won't be so conflicted at the GE. Keith and friends are no more (or less) statist than the current shambles. The creeping authoritarian nonsense from the likes of Braverman and the tax burden as a consequence of the disastrous policy choices during COVID will damn the conservative party for a good while for fiscal hawks/social liberals like me.

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