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Depends on rishi's priorities. If it's only the india trade deal to feather the family nest then politics doesn't apply.
Devils advocate here but lack of door knockers may play into tory hands. Nobody wanted to do it for them in the by-elections so cold weather may just reduce labour/lib/green numbers making it look like a wider issue rather than a Tory one?
Grumpy_Git
My guess is 2nd May it's Local and Mayoral elections, which is traditional.
Tories could take a right beating, look unelectable then so not a good springboard for a GE. If they don't go then, it's October? That dosen't have any suprise factor. I'd favour May
They'd have to be insane to hang on until Jan '25, declare Martial Law etc.