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I agree with this completely. Time and time again they've snuck in because a silent majority vote for them.
But demographically the Tories are losing voters fast, because basically their core support is dying and younger voters are far less likely to vote for them. Their numbers in the 18-40 demographic are terrible, if only people under 40 could vote, they'd struggle to get any MPs. This demographic change is ignored by a lot of pundits, but I think, and hope, it'll be key.
andyp-
The other caveat on that one is that the old actually turn up and vote, giving a disproportionate vote to the Tories. Is it cowardly to pray for a harsh winter?
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Also the widely held belief of get old - turn conservative seems to not be holding true for millenials, mainly studied in the USA but should be relevent here too. https://news.northeastern.edu/2023/01/25/millenials-age-conservative/
So hopefully with an aging population they won't get more support for free. Hopefully.
kl
Sumo
It makes sense but I don't want to get my hopes up and I think we shouldn't underestimate this countries ability to vote Tory despite their obvious best interests.