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You'll find it hard, Tories vary between 'current scandal' and 'watch this space'.
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Cleverer people than me, with much more knowledge of these things, are making the case for a Tory wipeout at the next election, i.e. Sam Freedman:
https://samf.substack.com/p/wipeout?
The Labour Party will take their seats in the midlands and the north, and the Lib Dems will take a lot of seats from them in the south. More importantly, voters want rid of the Tories and we're seeing consistent tactical voting in all elections where the best candidate capable of beating the incumbent Tory, are getting massive swings to defeat them.
Colin_the_Bald
andyp
@Sumo
I'm not really buying to wipeout analysis from these byelections, they were both specifically to replace proper shits. I'd want to see one where the Tory candidate wasn't embroiled in scandal.