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A measuring caliper is showing 48mm of clearance in the fork, so I'm thinking I should be brave and try to dent the sides. Even if I mess up the curve, it might not be too obvious? Maybe I should get the short version so as not to have to much of a poorly fitting flap over the front wheel if it comes to that...
kvragu
Keep in mind this Weigle tutorial is for alu mudguards @kvragu. I could not re-radius my Berthoud mudguards for instance (and Berthoud says this is normal for stainless steel mudguards).
Denting the sides might also prove difficult, though it is fairly different from re-radiusing. Now that I think of it, I have actually dented a Berthoud mudguard by jamming my foot between the downtube and the mudguard.