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  • I really look forward to hearing skinny's take on this race. To me it looks like a load of riders are going with very little sleep while he is trying to hold a sustainable sleep pattern.

    I can see him getting to 4th or 5th, but hard to see him winning from here.

    He'll ride his own race and not try to copy what the others are doing. Maybe a few of the others did copy what eg Sofiane was doing?

    I haven't been through all the data so not certain what is going on. But I've just looked at average moving speeds and, now, skinny's is 13.6km/h. That's higher than most of the guys above him. But there are two who are over 14: adrien leichti and one of the German guys. Sofiane is similar at 13.5.

    That means most of those guys have had much less rest, so may struggle in the closing stages, while skinny will most likely maintain his place and wind back his stops. So I expect he'll go up a few places. Will be exciting to see the finish. Given the low sleep strategies there's potential for some people to get exhausted and need a long rest.

  • Looks like the top 5 didn't rest much in the beginning but have had longer breaks now for a couple of nights. Which means they won't get any further ahead but might be rested enough to keep it up now. Or not, anything could happen, someone could break a rim or something. It looks like a decent road from the small town of Baetov to the CP3 but off road tracks again after that.

  • He's into 8th now. Manu scratched and he's gone past Josh and someone else.

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