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  • Timing the market is a mug's game (unless you're a professional discretionary trader in which case you have reams of analysis and you're anyway doing it with someone else's money).

    The only general-purpose way to get a reasonable return that isn't luck, inside knowledge or very careful analysis is cost averaging, which just means buying in monthly or whatever so you have a good chance of buying close to wherever the bottom turns out to be.

  • is cost averaging

    I seem to remember reading some analysis which showed that in the majority of time segments, investing a lump sum provided higher returns than PCA, ie time in the market > timing the market.

    However many people may not have a lump sum to invest, so it may be a moot point in any case.

  • Oh yeah, I didn't mean that putting the money in was a bad idea, just that worrying about timing it better is usually misguided (even if it's hard to avoid when you're looking at a sad graph instead of a happy one)

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