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@ILb
That's definitely a good shout with removing another 5 degrees from the forecasted temperature - means carrying more than I would like but probably unavoidable. Maybe worth taking a down jacket and hiking style waterproof rather than cycling specific stuff? Shakedry jacket seems pocketable but not as warm as other waterproofs.
I've got aero bars on but they don't quite sit in the right place, and being basic ones they don't have stack or reach adjustment. I have looked at other options but they seem pricey. Is there a recommended option? Other things that might work would be raising the handlebars a bit on the steerer, I think I have 5 or 10mm to play with, and maybe trying a shorter stem?
Tyres was just bad judgement really. I've got some of the new Specialized endurance tyres on the way now which I'm keen to try out.