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  • Russia has almost 4 times Canada’s population and it’s official (probably falsified) GDP is only 80% of Canada’s. This war must be doing a lot of damage to their economy. It’s also taking productive labour out of the workforce and saddling the economy with thousands of disabled veterans, widows and orphans.
    Best case scenario in my opinion is total economic collapse of Russia and dissolution.

  • (Trigger warning, references to v crude violence.)

    Which no one sane should really want. The collapse of a huge centrist state with a large and spread out population would almost certainly result in major famine and disease. Remember that after WW2, the Russian state had to create posters telling people not to eat their own children, and there’s widespread evidence of it happening.

  • Also, the Kremlin is the biggest baddest gorilla keeping a lot of other armed, ambitious loonies in check. Given free rein, there’s several factions and regions where tribal infighting is foreseeable.

    And let’s not forget the world’s largest nuclear stockpile. Iran, Saudi, North Korea, China, possibly Turkey, Pakistan would love a slice of that pie.

  • Isn't that what Putin says the West wants? And doesn't anyone who remembers the collapse of the Soviet Union have a fairly good reason to fear that scenario?

  • Best case scenario in my opinion is total economic collapse of Russia and dissolution.

    How did that play out last time?

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