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  • One year later. Think it’ll be another year?

  • The US 2024 Presidential election looms large. Republicans are much more amenable to Putin, presumably because he won them the 2016 election, and should they win then the supply of ammunition and weapons will end very quickly.

    I'm sure the Ukrainian government is well aware of this, so imagine they'd like to get in a position this year where a Russian strategic withdrawal is Putin's only option.

  • I think the challenge there is convincing the majority of propaganda-drenched Russians that we (the west) do not pose an existential threat to Russia. It's so obvious to us, but so many of them are utterly brainwashed.

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