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As a comparison, my mate did a Channel swim on the first swim tide of the season (early June), about 16 degrees. He's a big walrus of a guy and was in for 22 hrs. A friend who worked the lifeboats told us that for someone who'd fallen off a ferry (the greatest risk back then) they'd be looking for a body after 20 minutes.
kl
c.h.e.
Yeah all of this. Fucking horrible. The desperation to risk that is heartbreaking.