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  • Will be interesting / depressing to read the full report when published.

    Health spending has been a roughly constant % of GDP for the last 10 years but service levels have fallen off a cliff (all setting COVID to one side). Are we just demographically fucked?

  • Are we just demographically fucked?

    Yes, on several levels.

    Ageing population, more long term conditions and a public sector pension liabilitty of £2tn+. There are not enough young people in the UK to bankroll the old folk, which is one of the reasons the Uk follows a high immigration policy (immigrants tend to be working age and have kids). And we are still ten to twenty years away from the worst effects of this situation biting.

  • And we are still ten to twenty years away from the worst effects of this situation biting.

    Agree, and it could get into a negative spiral. The Callaghan quote comes to mind - "sometimes when I go to bed at night, I think that if I were a younger man I would emigrate".

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