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there isn’t a wedge issue like brexit this time around propelling people towards the voting booth.
I think cost of living and collapsing public services will be a wedge issue by the time a GE comes around. Or even Brexit again, seeing as there is so much voter regret over the fact it's basically made life worse for the people who were told it'd make life better.
Stonehedge
Even if a deal was done I imagine a lot of the reform voters who would have voted for Boris won’t be excited by Rishi, there isn’t a wedge issue like brexit this time around propelling people towards the voting booth.