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  • I am reading in forrin news that defence analysts have worked the numbers, how many soldiers it would have been possible to get across the Dniepr in time, and assume a number of Russian troops are left in Kherson with no realistic escape route. Assuming they are the least experienced, least valuable troops this could turn pretty grim. I really hope they do the sensible thing and surrender en masse.

    EDIT: Suggestions on Twitter that there are 18 000 troops left behind. This is insane.

  • Think the working hypothesis has been that they have withdrawing the professional army for weeks already but had been backfilling them with conscripts, a bunch of them probably left on the wrong side to find their own way or surrender. Videos on twitter of soldiers walking over the pontoon bridge yesterday and vehicles driving over the bridge but both now destroyed, so anyone else is left to swim or find a boat

    This was stragglers apparently yesterday
    https://twitter.com/ian_matveev/status/1590990707103252481

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