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  • Ok, so you get a GE, but Tories still win!?You underestimated the consequences like the Brexit vote? Then what?

    #greatestshowonearth

    The Tories are going to do anything within their power to avoid a GE as they'd (based on current polling) lose in a manner that is conceivably historically notable.

    What we're seeing now is the manoeuvring of various factions to get their preferred PM as the result of Truss resigning today.

    But, they're all going to be a disaster - so the eventual GE will likely still be a defeat, but maybe not as enormous a defeat as they'd get right now.

  • I agree with this. Johnson won't get enough votes. Mordant (if it goes to members) or Sunak (if mps hold sway) will bring in reasonably sensible cabinet (relative to the last few years) and things will limp on in an unpleasant but not completely awful way for the next 2 years.
    By the election they'll be back to 30/35% and lose but not be wiped out.

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