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  • Yeah, my folks are part of the 20% who won't vote for anyone else. Still possible there will be a party split/resurgence of a Farage headbanger party to siphon off the more rabid 5(?)%

    Approval rating don't translate into seats, but vote share does a bit more closely. A lot will depend on who is the next cab off the rank. Looking forward to the next lot of polls.

  • I was reading something by, I think, Rob Ford from Manchester University, where he was saying that the number of seats won under FPTP drops off a cliff somewhere in the mid-twenties. If the Tories do poll around 20% nationally, they will have significantly fewer MPs.

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