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Yeah, my folks are part of the 20% who won't vote for anyone else. Still possible there will be a party split/resurgence of a Farage headbanger party to siphon off the more rabid 5(?)%
Approval rating don't translate into seats, but vote share does a bit more closely. A lot will depend on who is the next cab off the rank. Looking forward to the next lot of polls.
villa-ru-
I was reading something by, I think, Rob Ford from Manchester University, where he was saying that the number of seats won under FPTP drops off a cliff somewhere in the mid-twenties. If the Tories do poll around 20% nationally, they will have significantly fewer MPs.
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Also can’t help but think the same troubles the Tories have, Labour will have once in power.
andyp
GoatandTricycle
I’m still unsure the approval ratings translate to seats.
I can’t see how people like my Dad who have always voted conservative are going to take this to change their ways? Maybe it accounts for that but I’m dubious.