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  • so is kinda like a desperate move

    Not totally desperate, but a continued doubling down on the whole thing... so escalating rather than de-escalating.

    This takes us further from "special operation" and closer to "war" for the Russian people... one of these didn't have to be painted in terms of victory or defeat. As they are now mobilising, this is essentially war... and that makes it much harder to find a political path out of this mess soon, and more likely to see continued escalation in the short/mid term.

  • a continued doubling down

    They do know how to boil the frog veeeery slowly. There has been a continuous erosion of checks and balances for decades.

    I know the general clusterfuck of the Russian army could be taken to mean the Russians just stubled into it without really thinking things through, but that could just as much be down to Putin's subordinates giving him crap intel.

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