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  • China doesn't need to invade Taiwan. The main opposition party in Taiwan, the KMT, is a pro-china party and 'favors Taiwan’s eventual unification with China'.

    Admittedly they have been out of power since 2016, but China has a clear path to reunification that doesn't require war.

  • Since 2016 one important change has happened, Hong Kong. China and the pro-Chinese KMT were holding up the success of one country two systems in HK as a model they could use in Taiwan. That model has lost a lot of appeal.

    Taiwan has had a lot of immigration lately, people from HK fleeing Chinese authoritarianism.

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