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  • China has a clear path to reunification that doesn't require war

    That’s my bet. China’s growing domestically and internationally, US/NATO are stalling, time is on their side in the short and medium term, if they can keep their economy afloat and avoid internal fractures.

  • If the threat of war and the fear of China's military is responsible for some Taiwanese being pro unification, I wouldn't say that's a peaceful solution. It will be annexation, followed by Hong Kong-style stripping away of Taiwan's freedom of expression, democracy and human rights.

  • a peaceful solution

    Oh I wouldn’t expect it would be peaceful, as it has been very clear that (the appearance of) civil orderliness is of the utmost important to the government. I do think a political takeover and subsequent crackdown stands a better chance of avoiding a war with the US and NATO, and I think that is CCP’s preferred option.

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