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far higher chance of her calling a GE to create a personal mandate
You think? They're bombing in the polls at the minute, they're not going to be immune to the data that says they'll lose. I don't think they'd bat an eyelid about their mandate while they've still got a huge majority (they'll probably just conflate their majority with a mandate).
From (hazy) memory, May was high above Corbyn in the polls when she called the election (so calling it was the right decision), then he pulled it in because she was so awful. Polls from that time, election was in June 2017:
christianSpaceman-
The thing I take solace in is any deviation from the Boris manifesto is not automatically passed by the lord's. So there's every chance of a GE so truss can have her easy passage on legislation.
Slight boost in polls for new leader, a populist manifesto and if Tory planners claim it's worth the risk. The longer they wait the worse chance of a GE win.
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You think?
She's a nutter.
Grumpy_Git
Dammit
I think Truss is the better option- far higher chance of her calling a GE to create a personal mandate (a la Theresa May) and then losing her majority (also a La Theresa May).