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I'd have hedged my bets on either Vingegaard or Pogacar but the hairy descent has taken some zip out of the pace, though this might change as Pogacar must be conscious he's running out of road here.
Van Aert seems to be avoiding turns (which makes sense, not being a climber and having his leader behind, leaving Martinez and Pinot to work, but Pinot doing the lion's share by the looks of it? So yeah, stage to Martinez or van Aert...!
alex_s
Big question of the day: when will Pinot crack