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Probably somewhere between 2 and 3 with a new comic relief/ red nose day type event created where we all chuck a tenner at the problem once or twice a year to feel like we have done our bit while watching a c list celeb complete a challenge and footage of someone looking at their failed crop
The major frustration is the world could go either way, the tech, the policies and the resources are available to mitigate many of the worst impacts but very limited political appetite. The developed world hasn't paid up the 100bn it already promised and now they are all upping their defence spending while having to find ways to appease voters on inflation, I can't see many politicians keeping climate at the top of their priorities.
One ray of hope, it does seem like we might see an accelerated energy transition that we might not of before but it will be interesting if they can make it stick. Nixon's energy interventions were wide ranging and made a dent during the oil crisis but it didn't take many years for consumerism to drive overall demand back up to levels higher than they were before.
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greentricky
I completely agree. We are facing the largest migration of humans in history as the climate emergency progresses and we're stuck with nationalist politics and with growing post truth-ism surround the environment.
If people are worried about immigration to the Uk despite the very valid economic case for it, imagine how they feel when the water runs out and a billion people are on the move with the singlular goal of not dying of thirst?
Whats going to happen? Lets start a good old fashioned LFGSS list of possibilities:
1) The world takes steps to slow, stall and eventually reverse human induced climate change, invests in infrastructure and education in the developing world.
2) The areas of the world most damaged by climate change will return to feudalism, with the billionaire class providing access to food and water in return for mineral rights and labour.
3) The developed world takes no responsibility for the developing world and institutes eco-facism while the nationalistic willy waving grows to a crescendo.
4) Nuclear armageddon, killing the majority of humans, leading to the great reset.
5)
Any more possibilities to add?