Russian invasion of Ukraine

I don't feel so optimistic about this analysis. It feels disingenuous. The description of how 'The West' will reunify and the US will dominate is the stuff of nightmares for China.

It will be a life-and-death battle between those for and against Western democracy.
...
China should rejoice with and even support Putin, but only if Russia does not fall. Being in the same boat with Putin will impact China should he lose power. Unless Putin can secure victory with China’s backing, a prospect which looks bleak at the moment, China does not have the clout to back Russia.

Ignoring the conclusion, a lot of the build-up seems to push China into a position where they feel compelled to support the 'underdog' or end up in this scenario anyway:

Once Putin falls, the U.S. will no longer face two strategic competitors but only have to lock China in strategic containment. Europe will further cut itself off from China; Japan will become the anti-China vanguard; South Korea will further fall to the U.S.; Taiwan will join the anti-China chorus, and the rest of the world will have to choose sides under herd mentality. China will not only be militarily encircled by the U.S., NATO, the QUAD, and AUKUS, but also be challenged by Western values and systems.