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  • I do think that the narrative of Russia ‘losing’ or ‘stagnating’ in their Ukrainian adventure is a misguided western media interpretation. The basic fact is that they are slowly taking territory.

    Comically bad military tactics, terrible civilian and Russian army casualties are irrelevant, as they always have been in Russian wars - on the basis that there won’t be any Russian public backlash.

    As has been stated elsewhere, they win by mass, eventually, at terrible cost, they will win, it’s just a matter of time.

    I think the only positive out of this adventure has been to show how genuinely bad the Russian military is and that if they can be held by a 3rd rate military like Ukraine, than they would loose against any single major western nation, and would get completely overrun by the combined force of NATO. The only thing keeping them in the game are nuclear weapons (RE North Korea).

  • Russian army casualties are irrelevant, as they always have been in Russian wars - on the basis that there won’t be any Russian public backlash.

    I think their experience in Afghanistan would disagree. However, what some commentators miss when they reference Afghanistan, is the backlash was only possible because of Glasnost. Putin is cutting off all access to non-state information. I heard someone recently make the point that once visa and mastercard go then a lot of VPN users will loose their access - although these are a tiny fraction of the population anyway.

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